21/01/2012
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On January 21, 2012
It was a good result for us yesterday; our antepost bet on Somersby came home first producing a nice profit. The horse has been called a few names in the past, bridesmaid etc, but the fact is he always runs in championship races. He never gets beaten by far and runs to his rating every time. Somersby is arguably one of the most consistent horses currently in training.
On the build-up to the race Somersby did seem the forgotten horse. The prices of 13-2 / 6-1 earlier in the week were far too big. Somersby had the best form in the race by a good margin and should have been priced up around 11-4 joint favourite.
During the race Somersby jumped and travelled really well (no change there). Approaching the turn for home it was a three horse race but Al Ferof was being shoved along and it soon came down to a two horse race between Somersby and, the main danger, Finian’s Rainbow. Jumping the last Somersby was just over a length down but a great jump put us right in the mix and under a great ride by Dominic Elsworth we hit the front to win going away at the finish.
Somersby was backed well before the race, returning 9-2. We’re very happy with the price we took earlier in the week.
It was great to see Terry Biddlecombe after the race who is recovering from a stroke. I think this was the first time Mr Biddlecombe has been racing since his stroke and it was bit of a fairy-tale story.
The horse will now go to Cheltenham, most likely running in the Ryan Air over two miles four where Somersby will no doubt run very well and either win or be placed.
19/11/2011
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On November 19, 2011
Quick look back at yesterday’s account bet on Bowntobebad. The horse was travelling well during the early parts of the race but unfortunately stopped as if he ran into a brick wall. Bowntobebad lost ground very quickly and was allowed to walk back home in his own time. The cause of this poor performance was a burst blood vessel that caused the horse to bleed from the nose. If you watch the reply on ATR you can see this.
There’s nothing anybody can do when this happens; it’s really unlucky but can’t be predicted or prevented.
The Just Info did reasonably well; Somersby ran a cracker but again looks as if he needs three miles. Overturn won whilst Off The Wall was 3rd at a good price in the bumper. The Alan King horse was 4th. Turn Over Sivola is the horse to take out of the race; travelling well before blowing up in the final furlong.
Midnight Game also ran a solid race; the horse we backed for the Supreme Hurdle. Midnight Game was cantering into the last with only one other horse in contention; the two a long way clear. On landing his only rival landed sideways. A collision then proceeded and we lost all momentum and failed to get back up whilst also running green.
The trip over two miles four would be stretching Midnight Games stamina and the soft ground was not ideal. However this was a good run and shows the engine that the horse holds. Two miles on good ground will reveal the true ability of Midnight Game.
08/04/2011
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On April 8, 2011
We made a profit today with both bets placing. I still can’t believe Mon Parrain did not win. It’s been a very long time since I’ve seen a horse jump like him; today was a fantastic sight. Mon Parrain looked the winner for the entire race, never off the bit; lobbing along; jumped the last 6 lengths clear and even traded at 1.04 on Betfair.
The horse just needs a bit further as he couldn’t quicken up. It was really frustrating not to collect a nice bet, especially as we looked the winner for so long. I’ve received quite a few emails and know several members greened up and collected, but it was a huge shame that the weekend was not paid for with that bet. In the end our risk did return a small profit.
Somersby, well, what can you say? The horse jumped into the lead at 4 out, continued very well, hit the 3rd from last (as he did at Cheltenham) and got going again; running fast at the finish and just missing out on second. It would have been a tough job beating Master Minded but it again shows that the horse is crying out for three miles. Another profit on the bet with the E/W money.
January 2011 Review
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On February 2, 2011
After finishing 2010 with a great profit of 146 points, members did not have to wait very long for the first profit and bet of 2011. In fact the very first bet was on New Year’s Day where we backed Rose of the Moon at a huge 16/1. The horse was stepping up in trip and a massive run was expected and as a result there was a lot of support in the betting markets. It was so nearly the perfect start as the horse bounded up the Cheltenham hill passing all but one of her rivals and only failing by a length at the line. The E/W money was landed as we finished 2nd but so close for a great 16/1 payout.
Our next bets added a bit more cash to our client’s banks with 2 winners and 2 losers.
We placed a few antepost bets in December 2010 but both races were postponed due to the bad weather. But finally the King George race went ahead and so did our antepost bet on Riverside Theatre who ran well and finished 2nd retrieving a nice profit from our E/W bet.
We had also pinned a bet on Mille Chief in the Ladbroke Hurdle and unfortunately this race was also lost. Then, three weeks later, Mille Chief routed a field under a top weight and is now fancied for the Champion Hurdle. I am sure that if Mille Chief ran in the Ladbroke we would have collected a great payout as we were on at a large price.
Despite picking up profits on some nice E/W bets, we continued to hit the cross bar. This time it happened on Somersby at 8/1 E/W. Our selection lost out by the shortest of margins to Master Minded. On the finish line Master Minded’s head was down and ours was up and we got done in the photo after trading at 1.05 on Betfair. Yet again, so close. As you will notice, the average price of our selections is around 6/1.
Unfortunately a very similar result followed; after being informed of a huge gamble that was going down at Wincanton. The horse, Hawkaller, from the excellent Anthony Honeyball yard was available at 16/1 when advised and the SP was a much shorter 7/1. At two out it looked like money in the bag as Hawkaller was clear of the field approaching the last. At this point all we needed was a clear jump for a place but disaster struck when the horse stumbled and lost all momentum, eventually finishing 4th in an 18 runner field.
We then backed Angus A Vic at Gowran Park who ran well until two out but faded poorly.
Our final bet of the month was placed on The Giant Bolster at Cheltenham (a course where we get top class information). Clients were clearly instructed this horse is held in the highest regard and is only 7/1 because he is not trained by a fashionable name. Fashionable name or not, The Giant Bolster did the job. After so many close calls at big prices it was a relief that ensured members started the year with a great profit of 10 points (all proofed as usual).
When we started the service we always said we would close membership at a certain figure. That number is low as we are not, and don’t want to be, a huge service small. The membership is now almost full and only a few places remain; once they’ve gone new membership will be postponed.
There is no better time to join with the Cheltenham Festival on the horizon. We will be looking to reproduce similar results to last year where we had 9 selections and 7 winners that included 16/1, 9/1, 10/1 and 9/1. Membership will be on a first come first served basis once we are full we are full.
