08/07/2011
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On July 8, 2011
We backed Shumoos 2pts E/W at 7/2, the horse finished 3rd. If you placed £20 E/W, £37.50 would have been the return, so a small loss.
Story of the race was much like the day before as Shumoos pulled very hard early-on and did not behave very well at the start. The horse was taken down early with a pony but Shumoos was kicking out and wanting to get on with it. During the race he travelled very well despite not settling. At the furlong pole Shumoos hit the front but faded late on, just like Mijaar the day before, as vital energy was used up before and during the race.
In total we’ve had two account bets so far at Newmarket and have been beaten by around two lengths. It appears that the difference between landing two good profits instead of just E/W money-back is very small. Despite selections running well they’re just not quite getting their head in front where it matters. No major damage done but slightly frustrating.
It also looked like the just info horse Rose Blossom was a winner until the final 100 yards where she hung left and threw the race away at 8/1.
June Review
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On June 29, 2011
It’s going to be rather difficult not to turn this month’s review into a big sales pitch as it was so successful for us.
Two of the most important flat meetings took place in June: the Epsom Derby and, arguably the biggest, Royal Ascot. Lets start with the Derby meeting; we backed three horses, two of them were antepost. Firstly members were instructed to back Captain Dunne antepost who ran in the Epsom dash at 7/1. We had a very positive word after being told first-hand that the horse was still improving and that headgear would be applied because the trainer thought this would help him concentrate in the latter stages of the race.
It was a great start to the meeting as everything went to plan; Captain Dunne led from start to finish and landed the spoils as well as a great bet for members at 7/1. Even to small stakes this one bet alone would have paid for an entire months subscription. Next up was a strong selection; St Nicholas Abbey. So far this has been one of the biggest bets of the year for us as we were informed directly at the track by connections that the horse was back to his best. A strong win bet was advised at odds against. Clients had no worries as we watched St Nicholas Abbey win with plenty left in the tank even further increasing our profits for the meeting. Our only other bet at the meeting was Native Khan in the Derby who was advised at big odds antepost. The horse finished 5th but was only beaten by a couple of lengths.
All eyes were then on Royal Ascot where we had a antepost bet on a horse at 33/1. This bet was placed two weeks before Royal Ascot. Our first bet was a decent one on Shumoos who was just beaten in a photo finish; with a better draw the horse would have won. We then had three further bets that resulted in a loser and two placed E/W bets at 6/1 & 13/2.
Finally, on the last day of Royal Ascot, we had our antepost bet running in the Golden Jubilee. The horse we backed was Society Rock at 33/1. If you remember this horse finished 2nd in the same race last year but seemed to have lost his form since. We had a piece of first-hand racing information from the yard that stated the horse was now back to 100% for the first time this season and that his first two runs could be totally ignored. The horse was going so well at home it was a struggle to pull him up on the gallops.
In the build up to the race Society Rock was given little or no chance by the papers and pundits. However we knew that the horse had a chance if the appropriate breaks came. Society Rock was held up, as normal, but at two out the jockey asked Socity Rock to go through a very small gap and thankfully the horse put his head down and quickened immediately; making up lengths and hitting the front inside the final furlong to win under a fantastic ride by Pat Cosgrove.
Scenes of jubilation were had at BetterTipster towers with the phone immediately ringing from members who had landed a huge payout. Many people will never back a 33/1 winner, but to do it in one of the main sprint races of the year made it all the more sweet. Many phone calls and emails were received with clients winning up to six thousand pounds on this one bet alone as well as others buying new cars and nice holidays with the winnings. A fantastic Royal Ascot and a great profit made in June.
We were not quite finished though as on Saturday the 25th we were informed that Dominant was thought of being a group horse but had not shown his best ability as yet because he needed the soft ground and a flatter track. Dominant was highly fancied, the price was big at 6/1 and so we decided to send out the bet. The result was that Dominant won easily by 5 lengths easily. Another great bet landed and even more profits added.
To summarize, in June we make a profit upwards of 50pts and again keep our 100% monthly record this year. With only £10 stakes our June selections would have made a lovely £500 tax-free income.
18/06/2011
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On June 18, 2011
Today turned out nicely; Society Rock winning at 25/1, I guess that will do.
For the first time this year we looked like making a loss at a major meeting as we went into the last day of Royal Ascot 5pts down. Shumoos was our major bet of the meeting who failed by a whisker to land us a nice profit after we took a good price on him the day before. We also had a 10/1 3rd and a 6/1 E/W 3rd as well as two losers. We were close to a nice profit but things did not go quite as well as we would have liked.
Saturday came with two bets, one on Society Rock who we backed antepost. First up though was Fort Bastion who we backed at 6/1 and who eventually went off at 9/2 after plenty of strong support. The horse ran a cracker but met a stronger opponent, Maybe, who looks a good filly. We finished 2nd, well clear of the 3rd and placed horses. Take Maybe out of the race and we would have won easily. The E/W part of the bet was a winner and small profit was made.
Next up was Society Rock who we advised antepost the week before Ascot. With soft ground and a poor draw our confidence was not high going into the race. What we did know was that the horse was back to last seasons form and doing some cracking work on the gallops. Society Rock was also a proven group performer, finishing 2nd in this race last year.
The race itself did not start well; we jumped out slow and then got into a barging match with two other horses and a few words were exchanged between jockeys. Pat Cosgrove did find a nice slot and made sure that we did not get far back of the main leaders; it was vital we had pace on our side of the draw.
At two out we were going well and things started to look up, but we needed the gap. We’re not sure why the horse was trading at 419/1 on Betfair. The gap appeared and Pat gave his all when going for home; forcing Society Rock through a small gap and quickening well before hitting the front and going away at the finish.
It was a fantastic result that was the result of a fantastic ride and a heart-stopping race. This meant that we landed a huge 25/1 bet with some clients getting 33/1 & 28/1.
We finished the meeting with a profit of 26pts. This maintains our record of winning at all the major meetings this year. Before Ascot we had a great Epsom meeting, 17pts up, but this really puts the icing on the cake for the month of June with over 40 points profit.
15/06/2011
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On June 15, 2011
I’ll start with Super Say who had a poor draw. In the end the draw did not matter as the horse was virtually pulled up and walked back into the enclosure. Super Say was severely dehydrated and had to be treated by the vet. We got zero run for our money on this one and it’s hard ot understand how and why a horse can become dehydrated at such a top class race meeting. I can only assume that the connections did not give it enough water or the horse did not travel over well. Either way, it was disappointing losing like that.
Next was Shumoos who was backed into 6/5 before the off; it appeared as if defeat was next to impossible. I’m sure you have watched the race by now. If you haven’t I’ll quickly explain what happened. We basically lost out by the width of a cigarette paper. The race was lost at two out when Shumoos hit a flat spot in the rising ground. After this flat spot it appeared to take her five strides to find her feet. The winner of the race had gone for home just as we hit the flat spot. Shumoos made up 3 to 4 lengths very quickly but could not quite get her head in front on the line.
Martin Dwyer felt after the race he lost a couple of lengths coming out of the stalls as he had to cross the track and also felt she would be much better over six furlongs. If taking into account losing a couple of lengths from the draw, Shummos would have won the race and definitely would have won if not for hitting the flat spot on the rising ground. Trainer Brian Meehan was gutted as he really thought she would not be beaten. A whisker was the difference between us landing a nice bet and a solid profit.
All was not lost though as we still had Winter’s Night running in the lucky last. The horse looked like the winner at a furlong out, cantering away on-the-bit, but Winter’s Night did not pick up when asked. I would have liked the jockey to go for home when travelling like this but she ran well and finished 3rd so we made a bit on the E/W part of the bet.
