09/07/2011
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On July 9, 2011
Fort Bastion raced handy up with the pace at Royal Ascot but was pulled back today when leaving the gates. The horse was still plum last at the furlong pole and never put in a real effort at any point during the race. With just a few yards left Fort Bastion switched to the outside and made rapid headway. Whether surprising or not, the horse did not get 3rd. A horrible set of circumstances in a Group 2 race. The racing Manager, Sir Robert Ogden, said the below:
Simpson on Fort Bastion
Barry Simpson, racing manager to owner to Sir Robert Ogden, was unhappy with the ride given to Fort Bastion, beaten favourite in the opener. He said “I don’t think the ground is an issue I just think he should have shoved him into the race earlier.”
All very nice and I’m sure he is very unhappy, or maybe not.
Our other selection, an antepost bet on Bated Breath was, for the 3rd day running, looking the winner until very close to home where we got mugged by Dream Ahead near the line. It’s frustrating that we only just failed on landing another big antepost bet. Bated Breath travelled with ease during the race but did pull a hard like our other two runners the day before. Everything bar Dream Ahead was well beaten; we went two lengths clear but the line did not come in time.
June Review
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On June 29, 2011
It’s going to be rather difficult not to turn this month’s review into a big sales pitch as it was so successful for us.
Two of the most important flat meetings took place in June: the Epsom Derby and, arguably the biggest, Royal Ascot. Lets start with the Derby meeting; we backed three horses, two of them were antepost. Firstly members were instructed to back Captain Dunne antepost who ran in the Epsom dash at 7/1. We had a very positive word after being told first-hand that the horse was still improving and that headgear would be applied because the trainer thought this would help him concentrate in the latter stages of the race.
It was a great start to the meeting as everything went to plan; Captain Dunne led from start to finish and landed the spoils as well as a great bet for members at 7/1. Even to small stakes this one bet alone would have paid for an entire months subscription. Next up was a strong selection; St Nicholas Abbey. So far this has been one of the biggest bets of the year for us as we were informed directly at the track by connections that the horse was back to his best. A strong win bet was advised at odds against. Clients had no worries as we watched St Nicholas Abbey win with plenty left in the tank even further increasing our profits for the meeting. Our only other bet at the meeting was Native Khan in the Derby who was advised at big odds antepost. The horse finished 5th but was only beaten by a couple of lengths.
All eyes were then on Royal Ascot where we had a antepost bet on a horse at 33/1. This bet was placed two weeks before Royal Ascot. Our first bet was a decent one on Shumoos who was just beaten in a photo finish; with a better draw the horse would have won. We then had three further bets that resulted in a loser and two placed E/W bets at 6/1 & 13/2.
Finally, on the last day of Royal Ascot, we had our antepost bet running in the Golden Jubilee. The horse we backed was Society Rock at 33/1. If you remember this horse finished 2nd in the same race last year but seemed to have lost his form since. We had a piece of first-hand racing information from the yard that stated the horse was now back to 100% for the first time this season and that his first two runs could be totally ignored. The horse was going so well at home it was a struggle to pull him up on the gallops.
In the build up to the race Society Rock was given little or no chance by the papers and pundits. However we knew that the horse had a chance if the appropriate breaks came. Society Rock was held up, as normal, but at two out the jockey asked Socity Rock to go through a very small gap and thankfully the horse put his head down and quickened immediately; making up lengths and hitting the front inside the final furlong to win under a fantastic ride by Pat Cosgrove.
Scenes of jubilation were had at BetterTipster towers with the phone immediately ringing from members who had landed a huge payout. Many people will never back a 33/1 winner, but to do it in one of the main sprint races of the year made it all the more sweet. Many phone calls and emails were received with clients winning up to six thousand pounds on this one bet alone as well as others buying new cars and nice holidays with the winnings. A fantastic Royal Ascot and a great profit made in June.
We were not quite finished though as on Saturday the 25th we were informed that Dominant was thought of being a group horse but had not shown his best ability as yet because he needed the soft ground and a flatter track. Dominant was highly fancied, the price was big at 6/1 and so we decided to send out the bet. The result was that Dominant won easily by 5 lengths easily. Another great bet landed and even more profits added.
To summarize, in June we make a profit upwards of 50pts and again keep our 100% monthly record this year. With only £10 stakes our June selections would have made a lovely £500 tax-free income.
18/06/2011
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On June 18, 2011
Today turned out nicely; Society Rock winning at 25/1, I guess that will do.
For the first time this year we looked like making a loss at a major meeting as we went into the last day of Royal Ascot 5pts down. Shumoos was our major bet of the meeting who failed by a whisker to land us a nice profit after we took a good price on him the day before. We also had a 10/1 3rd and a 6/1 E/W 3rd as well as two losers. We were close to a nice profit but things did not go quite as well as we would have liked.
Saturday came with two bets, one on Society Rock who we backed antepost. First up though was Fort Bastion who we backed at 6/1 and who eventually went off at 9/2 after plenty of strong support. The horse ran a cracker but met a stronger opponent, Maybe, who looks a good filly. We finished 2nd, well clear of the 3rd and placed horses. Take Maybe out of the race and we would have won easily. The E/W part of the bet was a winner and small profit was made.
Next up was Society Rock who we advised antepost the week before Ascot. With soft ground and a poor draw our confidence was not high going into the race. What we did know was that the horse was back to last seasons form and doing some cracking work on the gallops. Society Rock was also a proven group performer, finishing 2nd in this race last year.
The race itself did not start well; we jumped out slow and then got into a barging match with two other horses and a few words were exchanged between jockeys. Pat Cosgrove did find a nice slot and made sure that we did not get far back of the main leaders; it was vital we had pace on our side of the draw.
At two out we were going well and things started to look up, but we needed the gap. We’re not sure why the horse was trading at 419/1 on Betfair. The gap appeared and Pat gave his all when going for home; forcing Society Rock through a small gap and quickening well before hitting the front and going away at the finish.
It was a fantastic result that was the result of a fantastic ride and a heart-stopping race. This meant that we landed a huge 25/1 bet with some clients getting 33/1 & 28/1.
We finished the meeting with a profit of 26pts. This maintains our record of winning at all the major meetings this year. Before Ascot we had a great Epsom meeting, 17pts up, but this really puts the icing on the cake for the month of June with over 40 points profit.
June Breaking News…
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On June 6, 2011
June is off to a great start with three bets resulting in two winners so far. June is already paid for with Captain Dunne landing a super antepost bet at 7/1 in the Epsom Dash & a strong bet landed on St Nicholas Abbey 5/4 also bringing home the pounds. We’re a total of 17.5 points up already for the month and still have plenty of ammo for Royal Ascot.
Our only other bet was Native Kahn in the Derby beaten two lenghts into 5th at 14/1 antepost.
04/06/2011
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On June 4, 2011
In total we made 17.5 pts at the Epsom meeting; a nice return and a solid start for June. Going forward we now have plenty of betting ammunition for June and Royal Ascot.
I thought that David Allen gave Captain Dunne a superb ride; it was perfect in every way. We knew everything would be won or lost on the break, and so it proved. Captain Dunne jumped out of the stalls and was able to grab the stand-side. At three out most jockeys were pushing away whilst Captain Dunne was running away without a care in the world. The last furlong was always going to be the worry because of the horse’s weight. The race certainly took it’s toll but David really got stuck in and the horse gave everything; crossing the line first and landing us a nice return. If only every bet went to script like this one!
We’re not sure where the horse will run next, but if he’s running off level-weights he must be worth a go at group 1 level.
The Derby was the biggest race of the day and also happened to be where we have our next bet. We backed Native Khan who ran an absolute cracker. Admittedly we were a bit unlucky not to get some type of return as we backed the horse that finished 5th however he was only beaten two lengths in total. If you said before the race that Native Khan would be beaten by two lengths but not placed we would all be gutted.
The horse travelled well but could not quite handle the dip in the course. He had to change his legs a few times but at three out I thought that things looked good. If being slightly critical I would have liked the horse a bit nearer the pace, but Native Kahn gave his all and made up loads of ground in the final two furlongs but could not stay the trip better than some. We were boxed in for the last 50 yards; with a clear run we might have got 3rd.
After the race Johnny said that he thinks the horse is still quite green and will improve again for the run, the Irish Derby could well be a target.
