July Review
0
On August 1, 2011
Time for the July review now. This month saw some big meetings with Newmarket, Sandown & Glorious Goodwood all taking place. It was a really tough month that’s for sure with plenty of bizarre results. Horses that shouldn’t have been winning were, but thanks to the draw bias now playing a huge part at the major meetings it makes life very tough for Joe Punter. It seems that nearly all of the big expensive services had significant losses in July. At the end of June we were aiming for 7 out of 7 winning months so far this year; so did we manage it? Lets take a look.
The month started with two E/W bets at Newmarket. The first was on Mijhaar in what turned out to be one of the biggest gambles of the year so far. Clients were instructed that the horse had in upwards of 10lb in hand on his current rating and a solid E/W bet was recommend in a huge field. After members had placed their bets the money really arrived; 4/1 into 13/8 favourite. The horse was totally smashed up in the betting as a result of a country-wide gamble. Mijhaar looked the winner of the race as soon as the stalls opened; travelling on-the-bit until the furlong pole and quickening clear by three lengths. The money was surely won, but, Mijhaar just idled in front and got caught on the line by Fulgar.
The groans at the race track could be heard from the TV and a huge gamble was foiled by a very short margin. Stakes were returned from the E/W part of the bet but this is one big gamble that should have really paid off for a handsome return. We then had another E/W bet at Newmarket again but the horse could only make the place to return our stake money.
A couple of weeks before the meeting we backed Bated Breath antepost for the July Cup at 10/1 E/W. Once again the curse of 2nd place did us as Bated Breath went clear at the furlong pole but got caught late by Dream Ahead. Money was made on the place but we were so close to another huge antepost payout.
A quiet spell then came along with no bets for just over a week but we came back into action with both Sardanapalus & Stormy Weather winning for us at 7/2 by a distance. Two more bets were placed in the following week with Present Your Case landing a nice bet and Dominant a loss only manaing to place 3rd.
We placed just one bet at Goodwood on Beyond Desire at 14/1 E/W. The horse was backed into 9/1 at the off the and we were confident that we’d at least get a place and a good E/W profit. Unfortunately Beyond Desire received a big bump at the two pole and lost 3 lengths in the process. The horse battled back into 3rd but got collared in the last stride for the place money. Beyond Desire was only beaten by 4 lengths in total and I can’t help but feel that if we had a clear run the horse would have gone very close.
The month finished on a high with Bop It, advised at 11/4, winning easily for us at Hamilton. We were informed by connections that the horse is far better than this grade and a win was confidently expected. Bop It did not let us down and a good gamble was landed after our 11/4 was backed into 2/1.
We placed just 12 bets in July; four 1sts, four E/W places and a total profit of just under 10pts. After a very hard month, where the majority lost. we did it again with a solid profit. This helps maintain our amazing record of producing a profit in every single month this year! We don’t think any of the big tipping services can boast this sort of record.
08/07/2011
0
On July 8, 2011
We backed Shumoos 2pts E/W at 7/2, the horse finished 3rd. If you placed £20 E/W, £37.50 would have been the return, so a small loss.
Story of the race was much like the day before as Shumoos pulled very hard early-on and did not behave very well at the start. The horse was taken down early with a pony but Shumoos was kicking out and wanting to get on with it. During the race he travelled very well despite not settling. At the furlong pole Shumoos hit the front but faded late on, just like Mijaar the day before, as vital energy was used up before and during the race.
In total we’ve had two account bets so far at Newmarket and have been beaten by around two lengths. It appears that the difference between landing two good profits instead of just E/W money-back is very small. Despite selections running well they’re just not quite getting their head in front where it matters. No major damage done but slightly frustrating.
It also looked like the just info horse Rose Blossom was a winner until the final 100 yards where she hung left and threw the race away at 8/1.
25/06/2011
0
On June 25, 2011
Another cracking day for us with Dominant winning at 13/2 with any amount in hand.
Dominant broke really well from the stalls; jockey Neil Callan had to take a good pull as the horse needs holding at the start. We were running in 3rd until about two out when Neil Callan angled Dominant towards some daylight; the response was immediate with the horse putting the race to bed in a matter of strides.
We won by 6 lengths in the end in a time well under the norm. Considering today’s ground it was a very special & smart performance indeed; Dominant looks a group class horse with the correct conditions.
This was great work from our main info contact who was at Newmarket; a big thanks to Roger who always speaks with us when we bump into him. Really pleased for Roger Varian who is in his first season as a trainer since taking over from Mr Jarvis.
Our other bet was Overturn who ran a solid race but only managed to finish 6th in the end. We looked the winner at two out; the horse was running well whilst all other runners were in trouble. Unfortunately Overturn faded in the final furlong; I think the ground was just that bit too soft for him as he could never quite get away from the field like he did at Chester.
No matter though as Dominant won us another 5pts. June 2011 has been one of the most successful months that we’ve had since the service commenced in January 2009.
01/10/2010
0
On October 1, 2010
Review of today’s racing saw us place one account bet on Cape Tribulation, 5pts win at 4/5. I am pleased to say Cape Tribulation won the race easily and there weren’t any scary moments.
The Price of 4/5 represented good value for a horse of this quality running in a race of this nature. The SP was a much shorter 4/7 after being heavily backed on course when a few large bets were placed. The 4/7 was the correct price for this horse, not 4/5 (advised). It has to be said that we don’t back many odds on shots but sometimes they are value prices, especially over the jumps. It was nice having a decent 5pt bet rather than the small bets that we are forced to place on the flat.
The weather today has been horrible from tip to toe of the UK. The Ryder Cup has been massively disrupted not to mention that the going at most meetings is now (very) heavy. In my opinion the word ‘heavy’ in the going description doesn’t truly represent the ground when, on days like today, it is more of a swamp. I think we can safely say that it is unlikely we will be betting at Newmarket tomorrow.
28/09/2010
0
On September 28, 2010
We had one bet today that finished 3rd despite being very heavily supported in the betting markets. The horse was 6/4 when the text went out, and it returned 10/11. I mentioned that it was likely that the horse would be held up; unfortunately though Clarach seemed to do too much too soon. You could see Richard Johnson looking behind him numerous times, willing another horse to take up the running, but other jockeys are not stupid and they quite rightly left the horse out in the front. At two from home Clarach had used up all his energy and it was game over. The horse managed to stay on for the place, but was 3rd in the end. Our record with the Vaughan runners is excellent so this was unusual. Still, it’s early in the week and we have the big Newmarket meeting starting on Thursday so there’s still plenty of time to get it back.
