12/02/2012
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On February 12, 2012
We backed two horses, Lord Windermere & Last Instalment, who were our first bets of the month.
First up was Lord Windermere who ran a fair race but probably was not quite battle hardened enough for a race of this nature. The horse travelled and jumped well throughout; on the turn for home Lord Windermere moved up into 3rd place on the outside and looked dangerous.
Unfortunately the horse did look to run well enough at the business end of the race. He did not handle the bend and appeared to hang too far to his left. Up the home straight we didn’t really quicken but stayed on nicely with the horse visibly shaking his head.
We think that a nice prize can be won with the horse, but talks of the Supreme at Cheltenham look very optimistic.
Next up was Last Instalment who was a lot shorter than we would normally bet, but the price did look to represent some value. The horse was clearly the best in the race by a long margin. The SP of 8-11 was about correct; we got 5-6 earlier in the day that represented better value.
Last Instalment won nicely, making all and wasn’t headed at any point in the race.
The stakes were given to ensure we made a profit if the first value horse lost. This worked as we had hoped with a 1pt profit made on the day. Admittedly it’s nothing to get excited about but at least we we’re off and running for February.
The cold snap looks to be nearly over and we’re hopeful that we can push on and prepare for Cheltenham. I don’t think we saw any Cheltenham winners at Leopardstown. Last Instalment would have an E/W chance in the RSA but with talks of Grand Crus running, a place would be best could hope for.
Quel Esprit finally won a fair race. He jumped round well despite a bit of pressure. Can’t have the horse for the Gold Cup, however he looks to have stones to find with Long Run & Kauto Star.
26/12/2011
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On December 26, 2011
We backed Captain Chris ante-post on Thursday 22nd December 2 points E/W at 8/1 with Ladbrokes.
There has been some confusion regarding the payout but providing you did back the horse on the above date you should have now been paid. We have received many emails informing us that Ladbrokes had the bet down as a loser; this was an error with their automated payout system.
When we place ante-post bets we always go in the day before the final declarations close. This way we ensure we get the terms advertised on the website no matter how many horses run. On Friday Ladbrokes went non-runner no-bet on the race, this is where the confusion happened as the system changed all placed bets to this feature as a gesture from Ladbrokes. This also brings in a rule 4 though that we certainly did not want, the race only paying first two.
We backed Captain Chris on Thursday before the NRNB came into force resulting in a winning bet. The Ladbrokes system could not distinguish between bets placed on Thursday & Friday and hence it automatically turned selections placed on Thursday into NRNB. This normally would be great but in this case was not for us.
Ladbrokes have now corrected the error and paid winning funds into your account.
Any problems please get in touch, the one important rule when placing ante-post bets before the final declaring stage is:
Each-Way Ante Post bets are settled according to the Each-Way terms advertised at the time the bet was placed
The above rule can be found on any bookie’s website.
Captain Chris ran a strange race. He was not travelling well from the off and Richard Johnson had to slightly niggle him from the third fence. The horse did jump a little sticky; this was also out of character as he was foot perfect in the Arkle. I thought the horse was going to be pulled up at one stage as Captain Chris lost a good 6 lengths just before the turn for home and looked in big trouble. On the turn itself Captain Chris made up a good 8 lengths and came back on-the-bit to take third place in-running. For a furlong or so it looked like we were in business.
The horse then stayed on at the one-pace and eventually finished 3rd. We did mention that the horse missed a few weeks works on the build up to the race but it was still a strange run. We think that there is more to come from the horse. It’s possible that his breathing is still bothering him. At least we got the E/W money. I was under the impression that Captain Chris would have gone much closer.
As for Kauto Star, what can you say? He ran a cracker etc. but we still stick by our original comments; an 11 year old winning the top three mile races suggests more about the calibre of its opposition.
15/01/2011
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On January 15, 2011
First up was Khyber Kim, a long time favourite of ours, who, in all fairness, ran a shocker. We spoke with connections last night who said he was beaten after two hurdles and never got going at any point in the race. After the race the jockey commented that even prior to the start something didn’t feel correct.
I wish there was an explanation other than it just looks like the horse had an off day (as we all do at times). Ultimately we had a poor start to the day.
Finally we got around to our antepost bet on Riverside Theatre who ran in the rearranged King George at Kempton Park. I received quite a few emails and texts during the day when the horse hit 16/1 with all the major bookies and even 20/1 on Betfair with just under 5/1 available for the place.
We expressed our opinion that despite the small drift, that was still a big price and it seems quite a few of you went in again, especially on the Betfair place market. Riverside Theatre ran a good race, although that wasn’t the focus of events for 99% of the general betting public, finishing second at 10/1 after receiving another wave of support prior to the start of the race. We achieved an antepost price of 12/1.
The horse lost quite a bit of ground on the turn for home when approaching the lake. It appears that the ground was very soft at this point and as a result he seemed to be wasting energy going nowhere for a few strides, losing 5-6 lengths in the process. On the home straight he stayed on really well, passing the heavily odds-on favourite Kauto Star and finishing a clear second.
The winner, Long Run, was without doubt very impressive. I feel slightly frustrated that despite beating Kauto Star we did not win the race. The jockey, Sam Cohan, who gave Long Run a great winning ride, deserves all the praise. Nevertheless I will still not be backing him in the Gold Cup with Sam on board. The Gold Cup is a rough race where the fences are much tougher and come at you very quickly.
A decent profit was made on the antepost bet and congratulations to those clients that made decent money on the place.
19/03/2010
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On March 19, 2010
I am finding it difficult to sum up the final day of the Cheltenham Festival. We had two more ante-post bets run yesterday. Could things really get any better?
Kauto Star vs Denman, Denman Vs Kauto Star; that’s all we have heard during the build up to the Gold Cup. In all honesty I was little fed up of it all. Nothing else seemed to be given a chance. Well, we gave something else a chance, and we knew it would take a massive amount of beating. Members backed the horse weeks ago at 10/1. Our selection was the new kid on-the-block, Imperial Commander. This was a very confident selection, we were clearly told the horse was at it’s peak performance and was running extremely well at home. We were informed many weeks before the race that this ride would not be swapped for any other horse.
Paddy turns to the crowd as he wins the Gold cup and also grants us a whacking big payout. No need to say anymore.
Our last ante-post bet of the festival ran in the Foxhunters. The horse was Kilty Storm, and it was advised at 16/1 E/W a few weeks ago. It is needless to say that the horse didn’t run less than 3rd all the way around the track. At two out, still on-the-bit, the horse looked like another massive winner. Unfortunately he just tired towards then end, finishing a clear 2nd. It was a brilliant way to end the festival and another addition to the great information we received throughout.
So, how to sum it all up? I am being modest when saying it was quite an amazing 4 days with fantastic profits. We had a total of six Cheltenham winners from the eight advised ante-post bets. The two that let us down were Poquelin, who finished 2nd, and Bensalem who fell when cantering two out.
To a £10 E/W stake on all of our selections, one would have returned just over £800 in profits. That’s not bad since only three favourites won at the entire meeting (correct me if wrong). What’s more is that all of our ante-post selections were sent out to a leading authority in betting tipster and systems reviews; the ‘WhatReallyWins?’ newsletter.
I will update tomorrow with some statistics on the service since we commenced online almost a year ago. Until then, take care and have a good weekend.
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“Well done, amazing tipping at Cheltenham,best I’ve seen, you deserve a big glass of bubbly, no a bottle, no a crate. It could so easy have been 8-9 winners.”
“Yes, your Ante-Post selections did us proud – well done ….. I participate in several backing services at present, but there is no doubt that yours has given the best Cheltenham results.”
“I can only say thanks a lot! …. I’m a new subscriber – if that’s what you do as a fairly regular occurrence then I’m in.”
Finally, it's here……..
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On March 15, 2010
The best week of the year has arrived. Welcome all, to the Cheltenham festival.
We’re all puzzling over various several big questions. Are you one of those that have a big ante-post bets burning in your back pocket? Are you going to the festival? Possibly sinking a few beers with the Irish? Will Dunguib win by a mile in the first? What state will the roof be in if it does? Will Kauto win the Gold cup?
The answers will come over the most thrilling four days racing the world has to offer. It does not get any bigger than this.
The majority of our ante-post bets have been placed over the last two weeks. Already we hold some tasty prices that have since been dramatically cut. Do we green up, or do we let it run?
Personally, I choose to let them run.
We will do our very best to update the blog most evenings during the festival, so you can see how we get on. The last couple of weeks have been a bit dull. We’ve had a few bets, both Win and E/W prices, but the horses have just come up short either finishing 2nd, bringing back the stake money, or not quite being asked enough at the finish.
In my opinion, here are a few horse to keep an eye out for:
Ashkazar has been plotted up for the Martin Pipe Hurdle. The horse’s last race was a learning curve for the jockey. Remember this horse was at one time the favourite for the champion hurdle. Ashkazar has slipped to a very good mark and has been backed over the last week by people in the know. This is reflected in the price moving from 33/1 into 7/1.
Long Run goes for the RSA. Make no mistake this is the best horse to come out of France since Kauto Star. If this horse adapts to English fences and jumps cleanly, it will take massive amounts of beating. In time, Long Run will win the Gold Cup.
If you are going to the festival then we here at BetterTipster HQ hope you have a fantastic time. Our main piece of advice is to remember; just because it’s Cheltenham, it does not mean you have to back in every single race. Choose your selections carefully and stick with them.
