08/09/2011
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On September 8, 2011
We backed Money Never Sleeps 3pts win at 2/1. Our bet finished 4th in the end at 11/8 after seeing strong support.
From the stalls Money Never Sleeps was very handy; leading the field and handling the Epsom course particularly well, unlike Right Regal who was all at sea. We were travelling on-the-bit until the furlong pole without the jockey moving an inch. We looked the easy winner some way out as the rest of the runners were all being strongly ridden and traded heavily odds-on.
All still looked good at the furlong pole and Money Never Sleeps was on target to win but, with half a furlong left, jockey Robert Havlin was unable to get a response when asking the horse to go away and win the race. The horse went from full tank to running on empty in a matter of strides. It looked fairly clear that Money Never Sleeps did not see out the extra furlong in distance, if the race was six furlong as per last run our bet would have won very easily.
We’re really surprised the horse did not stay and how quickly stamina gave way. The horse will go back over six furlongs next time out on a recovery mission for connections.
An unfortunate 3pts loss on the day that puts us back all square for the month. I think the weekend break has come at the right time as the flat racing is proving really tough at the moment and in all honesty we’re totally fed up of it now.
June Review
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On June 29, 2011
It’s going to be rather difficult not to turn this month’s review into a big sales pitch as it was so successful for us.
Two of the most important flat meetings took place in June: the Epsom Derby and, arguably the biggest, Royal Ascot. Lets start with the Derby meeting; we backed three horses, two of them were antepost. Firstly members were instructed to back Captain Dunne antepost who ran in the Epsom dash at 7/1. We had a very positive word after being told first-hand that the horse was still improving and that headgear would be applied because the trainer thought this would help him concentrate in the latter stages of the race.
It was a great start to the meeting as everything went to plan; Captain Dunne led from start to finish and landed the spoils as well as a great bet for members at 7/1. Even to small stakes this one bet alone would have paid for an entire months subscription. Next up was a strong selection; St Nicholas Abbey. So far this has been one of the biggest bets of the year for us as we were informed directly at the track by connections that the horse was back to his best. A strong win bet was advised at odds against. Clients had no worries as we watched St Nicholas Abbey win with plenty left in the tank even further increasing our profits for the meeting. Our only other bet at the meeting was Native Khan in the Derby who was advised at big odds antepost. The horse finished 5th but was only beaten by a couple of lengths.
All eyes were then on Royal Ascot where we had a antepost bet on a horse at 33/1. This bet was placed two weeks before Royal Ascot. Our first bet was a decent one on Shumoos who was just beaten in a photo finish; with a better draw the horse would have won. We then had three further bets that resulted in a loser and two placed E/W bets at 6/1 & 13/2.
Finally, on the last day of Royal Ascot, we had our antepost bet running in the Golden Jubilee. The horse we backed was Society Rock at 33/1. If you remember this horse finished 2nd in the same race last year but seemed to have lost his form since. We had a piece of first-hand racing information from the yard that stated the horse was now back to 100% for the first time this season and that his first two runs could be totally ignored. The horse was going so well at home it was a struggle to pull him up on the gallops.
In the build up to the race Society Rock was given little or no chance by the papers and pundits. However we knew that the horse had a chance if the appropriate breaks came. Society Rock was held up, as normal, but at two out the jockey asked Socity Rock to go through a very small gap and thankfully the horse put his head down and quickened immediately; making up lengths and hitting the front inside the final furlong to win under a fantastic ride by Pat Cosgrove.
Scenes of jubilation were had at BetterTipster towers with the phone immediately ringing from members who had landed a huge payout. Many people will never back a 33/1 winner, but to do it in one of the main sprint races of the year made it all the more sweet. Many phone calls and emails were received with clients winning up to six thousand pounds on this one bet alone as well as others buying new cars and nice holidays with the winnings. A fantastic Royal Ascot and a great profit made in June.
We were not quite finished though as on Saturday the 25th we were informed that Dominant was thought of being a group horse but had not shown his best ability as yet because he needed the soft ground and a flatter track. Dominant was highly fancied, the price was big at 6/1 and so we decided to send out the bet. The result was that Dominant won easily by 5 lengths easily. Another great bet landed and even more profits added.
To summarize, in June we make a profit upwards of 50pts and again keep our 100% monthly record this year. With only £10 stakes our June selections would have made a lovely £500 tax-free income.
18/06/2011
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On June 18, 2011
Today turned out nicely; Society Rock winning at 25/1, I guess that will do.
For the first time this year we looked like making a loss at a major meeting as we went into the last day of Royal Ascot 5pts down. Shumoos was our major bet of the meeting who failed by a whisker to land us a nice profit after we took a good price on him the day before. We also had a 10/1 3rd and a 6/1 E/W 3rd as well as two losers. We were close to a nice profit but things did not go quite as well as we would have liked.
Saturday came with two bets, one on Society Rock who we backed antepost. First up though was Fort Bastion who we backed at 6/1 and who eventually went off at 9/2 after plenty of strong support. The horse ran a cracker but met a stronger opponent, Maybe, who looks a good filly. We finished 2nd, well clear of the 3rd and placed horses. Take Maybe out of the race and we would have won easily. The E/W part of the bet was a winner and small profit was made.
Next up was Society Rock who we advised antepost the week before Ascot. With soft ground and a poor draw our confidence was not high going into the race. What we did know was that the horse was back to last seasons form and doing some cracking work on the gallops. Society Rock was also a proven group performer, finishing 2nd in this race last year.
The race itself did not start well; we jumped out slow and then got into a barging match with two other horses and a few words were exchanged between jockeys. Pat Cosgrove did find a nice slot and made sure that we did not get far back of the main leaders; it was vital we had pace on our side of the draw.
At two out we were going well and things started to look up, but we needed the gap. We’re not sure why the horse was trading at 419/1 on Betfair. The gap appeared and Pat gave his all when going for home; forcing Society Rock through a small gap and quickening well before hitting the front and going away at the finish.
It was a fantastic result that was the result of a fantastic ride and a heart-stopping race. This meant that we landed a huge 25/1 bet with some clients getting 33/1 & 28/1.
We finished the meeting with a profit of 26pts. This maintains our record of winning at all the major meetings this year. Before Ascot we had a great Epsom meeting, 17pts up, but this really puts the icing on the cake for the month of June with over 40 points profit.
May Update!
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On June 1, 2011
Time for an update of our results for May:
It goes without saying that May is a very tough month with frisky two year olds making debuts and warm weather making it hard for horses to work on the grass gallops. This is the reason BetterTipster took it’s first break since January 2009 (when the service went public). We would much prefer to hold back and let everything calm down before playing our cards. We took a weeks break to recharge our batteries and all members were told a month in advance.
We have placed a few carefully selected bets, so, how did members do?
Well, we continued our 100% winning month record for May by producing 8pts profit; this was a fair return since we only really operated for just two weeks out of four. The horses that did the job for us were Overturn at 6/1 and Bourne at 10/11 (who was a strong bet). These two results kept things ticking over nicely and kept members happy for the fifth month in a row.
Our running yearly total now stands at 30 points to level stakes and just over 71 points to recommended stakes. Bear in mind that we have had only 51 bets this year, so to level stakes that is a 160% ROI.
With some big meetings now on the horizon June will be a big month with the Epsom Derby & Royal Ascot upon us.
31/05/2011
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On May 31, 2011
We backed Art Thief at 8/1 and he was available at a general price of 15/2. The horse was well supported in the betting markets all day and hit a low of 7/2 at one stage. Art Thief returned an SP of 5/1 after significant support came for Dubawi Dancer, the winner of the race, at 8/11.
Art Thief did not break well and looked in trouble after a couple of furlongs. The horse looked uneasy on the undulations of Yarmouth. At two out, the jockey Tom Queally asked the horse to quicken and Art Thief obliged; making up much of the ground on the outside and found himself in 3rd place. That was the best position the horse achieved in the race and Art Thief finished 5th in the end, staying on at the one pace.
I’ve watched the race a few times now and counted Art Thief changing his legs 14 times in the last couple of furlong. Every time he hit rising ground he lost momentum and this resulted in a poor handling of the ups and downs. As yet we’ve not spoken with connections but there’s no doubt they will be disappointed with the run as they thought the horse would finish first, or second behind Dubawi Dancer, and I know they have left behind a decent amount of money.
Despite this performance, I would give Art Thief another chance on a flat galloping track, possibly over another two furlongs.
That brings May to an end in what was a quiet month, due to the week break, with not many bets. We did make a profit of 8pts but it’s a shame that we could not end the month with a winner. We are now entering a very busy time after a quiet spell in April & May, but we did say it would be quiet in the two toughest months of the year.
We have Epsom starting on Friday an then Royal Ascot. We anticipate that there will be quite a few antepost bets in the coming weeks once some of the main races are priced up.
The ‘Just Info’ horse ran ok, finishing 2nd. Gulf President was outpaced in the final two furlong as we thought, but it was also not suited with only jumping five hurdles instead of the ten. Gulf will be winning once stepped up in trip.
