July Review
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On August 1, 2011
Time for the July review now. This month saw some big meetings with Newmarket, Sandown & Glorious Goodwood all taking place. It was a really tough month that’s for sure with plenty of bizarre results. Horses that shouldn’t have been winning were, but thanks to the draw bias now playing a huge part at the major meetings it makes life very tough for Joe Punter. It seems that nearly all of the big expensive services had significant losses in July. At the end of June we were aiming for 7 out of 7 winning months so far this year; so did we manage it? Lets take a look.
The month started with two E/W bets at Newmarket. The first was on Mijhaar in what turned out to be one of the biggest gambles of the year so far. Clients were instructed that the horse had in upwards of 10lb in hand on his current rating and a solid E/W bet was recommend in a huge field. After members had placed their bets the money really arrived; 4/1 into 13/8 favourite. The horse was totally smashed up in the betting as a result of a country-wide gamble. Mijhaar looked the winner of the race as soon as the stalls opened; travelling on-the-bit until the furlong pole and quickening clear by three lengths. The money was surely won, but, Mijhaar just idled in front and got caught on the line by Fulgar.
The groans at the race track could be heard from the TV and a huge gamble was foiled by a very short margin. Stakes were returned from the E/W part of the bet but this is one big gamble that should have really paid off for a handsome return. We then had another E/W bet at Newmarket again but the horse could only make the place to return our stake money.
A couple of weeks before the meeting we backed Bated Breath antepost for the July Cup at 10/1 E/W. Once again the curse of 2nd place did us as Bated Breath went clear at the furlong pole but got caught late by Dream Ahead. Money was made on the place but we were so close to another huge antepost payout.
A quiet spell then came along with no bets for just over a week but we came back into action with both Sardanapalus & Stormy Weather winning for us at 7/2 by a distance. Two more bets were placed in the following week with Present Your Case landing a nice bet and Dominant a loss only manaing to place 3rd.
We placed just one bet at Goodwood on Beyond Desire at 14/1 E/W. The horse was backed into 9/1 at the off the and we were confident that we’d at least get a place and a good E/W profit. Unfortunately Beyond Desire received a big bump at the two pole and lost 3 lengths in the process. The horse battled back into 3rd but got collared in the last stride for the place money. Beyond Desire was only beaten by 4 lengths in total and I can’t help but feel that if we had a clear run the horse would have gone very close.
The month finished on a high with Bop It, advised at 11/4, winning easily for us at Hamilton. We were informed by connections that the horse is far better than this grade and a win was confidently expected. Bop It did not let us down and a good gamble was landed after our 11/4 was backed into 2/1.
We placed just 12 bets in July; four 1sts, four E/W places and a total profit of just under 10pts. After a very hard month, where the majority lost. we did it again with a solid profit. This helps maintain our amazing record of producing a profit in every single month this year! We don’t think any of the big tipping services can boast this sort of record.
23/07/2011
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On July 23, 2011
Firstly we backed Burano who finished 4th, beaten couple of lengths. Burano was a little slow away but soon made up the ground and travelled well in the centre of the track. At two out jockey Shane Kelly looked a bit unbalanced as Burano changed his legs a few times whilst on the dip. Two runners on the far side got away and soon had the race between them whilst Burano failed to quicken until he met the rising ground close to home.
I’ve spoken with connections who say the horse did not handle going down the hill at the two pole but quickened up again once he hit the rising ground. This took me a little by surprise as Burano ran over the same course and distance last time out. Connections did point out that he came up the rail where the ground does not give way much. Either way Burano did not run as we had expected. The horse will run on a flat track next time out so it maybe worth giving him another chance as he was finishing better than anything once on the rising ground.
Dominant was tanking along and looked the winner of the race until the two pole with Neil Callen just pulling him out for a clear run. Nothing in the race could have gone better; we were just waiting for the surge of pace like last time.
We had a very quick 30 second chat with connections who say that Dominant‘s tongue came over his bit around the two pole. Neil said he asked the horse to quicken but could not believe the lack of responce because he was travelling so well. He also said the horse was making a choking noise. I have not watched the replay yet but apparently Dominant‘s tongue can be seen flapping out of his mouth from the two pole. If this is correct we have been really unlucky as the horse would have been unable to breath properly in the final part of the race.
June Review
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On June 29, 2011
It’s going to be rather difficult not to turn this month’s review into a big sales pitch as it was so successful for us.
Two of the most important flat meetings took place in June: the Epsom Derby and, arguably the biggest, Royal Ascot. Lets start with the Derby meeting; we backed three horses, two of them were antepost. Firstly members were instructed to back Captain Dunne antepost who ran in the Epsom dash at 7/1. We had a very positive word after being told first-hand that the horse was still improving and that headgear would be applied because the trainer thought this would help him concentrate in the latter stages of the race.
It was a great start to the meeting as everything went to plan; Captain Dunne led from start to finish and landed the spoils as well as a great bet for members at 7/1. Even to small stakes this one bet alone would have paid for an entire months subscription. Next up was a strong selection; St Nicholas Abbey. So far this has been one of the biggest bets of the year for us as we were informed directly at the track by connections that the horse was back to his best. A strong win bet was advised at odds against. Clients had no worries as we watched St Nicholas Abbey win with plenty left in the tank even further increasing our profits for the meeting. Our only other bet at the meeting was Native Khan in the Derby who was advised at big odds antepost. The horse finished 5th but was only beaten by a couple of lengths.
All eyes were then on Royal Ascot where we had a antepost bet on a horse at 33/1. This bet was placed two weeks before Royal Ascot. Our first bet was a decent one on Shumoos who was just beaten in a photo finish; with a better draw the horse would have won. We then had three further bets that resulted in a loser and two placed E/W bets at 6/1 & 13/2.
Finally, on the last day of Royal Ascot, we had our antepost bet running in the Golden Jubilee. The horse we backed was Society Rock at 33/1. If you remember this horse finished 2nd in the same race last year but seemed to have lost his form since. We had a piece of first-hand racing information from the yard that stated the horse was now back to 100% for the first time this season and that his first two runs could be totally ignored. The horse was going so well at home it was a struggle to pull him up on the gallops.
In the build up to the race Society Rock was given little or no chance by the papers and pundits. However we knew that the horse had a chance if the appropriate breaks came. Society Rock was held up, as normal, but at two out the jockey asked Socity Rock to go through a very small gap and thankfully the horse put his head down and quickened immediately; making up lengths and hitting the front inside the final furlong to win under a fantastic ride by Pat Cosgrove.
Scenes of jubilation were had at BetterTipster towers with the phone immediately ringing from members who had landed a huge payout. Many people will never back a 33/1 winner, but to do it in one of the main sprint races of the year made it all the more sweet. Many phone calls and emails were received with clients winning up to six thousand pounds on this one bet alone as well as others buying new cars and nice holidays with the winnings. A fantastic Royal Ascot and a great profit made in June.
We were not quite finished though as on Saturday the 25th we were informed that Dominant was thought of being a group horse but had not shown his best ability as yet because he needed the soft ground and a flatter track. Dominant was highly fancied, the price was big at 6/1 and so we decided to send out the bet. The result was that Dominant won easily by 5 lengths easily. Another great bet landed and even more profits added.
To summarize, in June we make a profit upwards of 50pts and again keep our 100% monthly record this year. With only £10 stakes our June selections would have made a lovely £500 tax-free income.
25/06/2011
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On June 25, 2011
Another cracking day for us with Dominant winning at 13/2 with any amount in hand.
Dominant broke really well from the stalls; jockey Neil Callan had to take a good pull as the horse needs holding at the start. We were running in 3rd until about two out when Neil Callan angled Dominant towards some daylight; the response was immediate with the horse putting the race to bed in a matter of strides.
We won by 6 lengths in the end in a time well under the norm. Considering today’s ground it was a very special & smart performance indeed; Dominant looks a group class horse with the correct conditions.
This was great work from our main info contact who was at Newmarket; a big thanks to Roger who always speaks with us when we bump into him. Really pleased for Roger Varian who is in his first season as a trainer since taking over from Mr Jarvis.
Our other bet was Overturn who ran a solid race but only managed to finish 6th in the end. We looked the winner at two out; the horse was running well whilst all other runners were in trouble. Unfortunately Overturn faded in the final furlong; I think the ground was just that bit too soft for him as he could never quite get away from the field like he did at Chester.
No matter though as Dominant won us another 5pts. June 2011 has been one of the most successful months that we’ve had since the service commenced in January 2009.
